Sea level as a stabilizing factor for marine-ice-sheet grounding lines

Natalya Gomez, Jerry X. Mitrovica, Peter Huybers, Peter U Clark

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    71 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Climate change could potentially destabilize marine ice sheets, which would affect projections of future sea-level rise1, 2, 3, 4. Specifically, an instability mechanism5, 6, 7, 8 has been predicted for marine ice sheets such as the West Antarctic ice sheet that rest on reversed bed slopes, whereby ice-sheet thinning or rising sea level leads to irreversible retreat of the grounding line. However, existing analyses of this instability mechanism have not accounted for deformational and gravitational effects that lead to a sea-level fall at the margin of a rapidly shrinking ice sheet9, 10, 11. Here we present a suite of predictions of gravitationally self-consistent sea-level change following grounding-line migration. Our predictions vary the initial ice-sheet size and also consider the contribution to sea-level change from various subregions of the simulated ice sheet. Using these results, we revisit a canonical analysis of marine-ice-sheet stability5 and demonstrate that gravity and deformation-induced sea-level changes local to the grounding line contribute a stabilizing influence on ice sheets grounded on reversed bed slopes. We conclude that accurate treatments of sea-level change should be incorporated into analyses of past and future marine-ice-sheet dynamics.
    LanguageEnglish
    Pages850-853
    JournalNature Geoscience
    Volume3
    Issue number12
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Dec 2010

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    grounding line
    ice sheet
    sea level
    sea level change
    canonical analysis
    prediction
    thinning
    gravity
    ice
    climate change

    Cite this

    Gomez, Natalya ; Mitrovica, Jerry X. ; Huybers, Peter ; Clark, Peter U. / Sea level as a stabilizing factor for marine-ice-sheet grounding lines. In: Nature Geoscience. 2010 ; Vol. 3, No. 12. pp. 850-853.
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    title = "Sea level as a stabilizing factor for marine-ice-sheet grounding lines",
    abstract = "Climate change could potentially destabilize marine ice sheets, which would affect projections of future sea-level rise1, 2, 3, 4. Specifically, an instability mechanism5, 6, 7, 8 has been predicted for marine ice sheets such as the West Antarctic ice sheet that rest on reversed bed slopes, whereby ice-sheet thinning or rising sea level leads to irreversible retreat of the grounding line. However, existing analyses of this instability mechanism have not accounted for deformational and gravitational effects that lead to a sea-level fall at the margin of a rapidly shrinking ice sheet9, 10, 11. Here we present a suite of predictions of gravitationally self-consistent sea-level change following grounding-line migration. Our predictions vary the initial ice-sheet size and also consider the contribution to sea-level change from various subregions of the simulated ice sheet. Using these results, we revisit a canonical analysis of marine-ice-sheet stability5 and demonstrate that gravity and deformation-induced sea-level changes local to the grounding line contribute a stabilizing influence on ice sheets grounded on reversed bed slopes. We conclude that accurate treatments of sea-level change should be incorporated into analyses of past and future marine-ice-sheet dynamics.",
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    Sea level as a stabilizing factor for marine-ice-sheet grounding lines. / Gomez, Natalya; Mitrovica, Jerry X.; Huybers, Peter; Clark, Peter U.

    In: Nature Geoscience, Vol. 3, No. 12, 12.2010, p. 850-853.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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    N2 - Climate change could potentially destabilize marine ice sheets, which would affect projections of future sea-level rise1, 2, 3, 4. Specifically, an instability mechanism5, 6, 7, 8 has been predicted for marine ice sheets such as the West Antarctic ice sheet that rest on reversed bed slopes, whereby ice-sheet thinning or rising sea level leads to irreversible retreat of the grounding line. However, existing analyses of this instability mechanism have not accounted for deformational and gravitational effects that lead to a sea-level fall at the margin of a rapidly shrinking ice sheet9, 10, 11. Here we present a suite of predictions of gravitationally self-consistent sea-level change following grounding-line migration. Our predictions vary the initial ice-sheet size and also consider the contribution to sea-level change from various subregions of the simulated ice sheet. Using these results, we revisit a canonical analysis of marine-ice-sheet stability5 and demonstrate that gravity and deformation-induced sea-level changes local to the grounding line contribute a stabilizing influence on ice sheets grounded on reversed bed slopes. We conclude that accurate treatments of sea-level change should be incorporated into analyses of past and future marine-ice-sheet dynamics.

    AB - Climate change could potentially destabilize marine ice sheets, which would affect projections of future sea-level rise1, 2, 3, 4. Specifically, an instability mechanism5, 6, 7, 8 has been predicted for marine ice sheets such as the West Antarctic ice sheet that rest on reversed bed slopes, whereby ice-sheet thinning or rising sea level leads to irreversible retreat of the grounding line. However, existing analyses of this instability mechanism have not accounted for deformational and gravitational effects that lead to a sea-level fall at the margin of a rapidly shrinking ice sheet9, 10, 11. Here we present a suite of predictions of gravitationally self-consistent sea-level change following grounding-line migration. Our predictions vary the initial ice-sheet size and also consider the contribution to sea-level change from various subregions of the simulated ice sheet. Using these results, we revisit a canonical analysis of marine-ice-sheet stability5 and demonstrate that gravity and deformation-induced sea-level changes local to the grounding line contribute a stabilizing influence on ice sheets grounded on reversed bed slopes. We conclude that accurate treatments of sea-level change should be incorporated into analyses of past and future marine-ice-sheet dynamics.

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