Abstract
Field and laboratory observations show that seismicity has non-trivial period-dependent response to periodic stress perturbations. In Nepal, seismicity shows significant variations in response to annual monsoon-induced stress variations but not to semidiurnal tidal stresses of the same magnitude. Such period dependence cannot be explained by the Coulomb failure model and spring-slider rate-and-state model (SRM). Here, we study seismicity response to periodic stress perturbations in a 2-D continuum model of a rate-and-state fault (that is, a finite rate-and-state fault). We find that the resulting seismicity indeed exhibits nearly periodic variations. Their amplitude is maximum at a certain period, Ta, and decreases with smaller and larger periods to the SRM predictions, remaining much larger than the SRM predictions for a wide range of periods around Ta. We attribute the higher sensitivity of finite faults to their finite nucleation zones which vary in space and have a different slip-velocity evolution than that of the SRM. At periods T » Ta and T » Ta, the seismicity-rate variations are in phase with the stress-rate and stress variations, respectively, consistent with the SRM, although a gradual phase shift appears as T increases towards Ta. Based on the similarities with the SRM and our simulations, we propose a semi-analytical expression for Ta. Plausible sets of model parameters make Ta equal to 1 yr, potentially explaining Nepal observations and constraining the fault properties. Our finite-fault findings indicate that aσ, where a is a rate-and-state parameter and σ is the effective normal stress, can be severely underestimated based on the SRM.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 385-413 |
| Number of pages | 29 |
| Journal | Geophysical Journal International |
| Volume | 198 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published (in print/issue) - Sept 2014 |
Keywords
- Earthquake dynamics
- Seismic cycle
- Seismicity and tectonics
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