Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland

Gavin M. Abernethy, David H. Glass

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Abstract

An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.
Original languageEnglish
Article number20210896
Pages (from-to)1-11
Number of pages11
JournalJournal of The Royal Society Interface
Volume19
Issue number188
Early online date9 Mar 2022
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 9 Mar 2022

Keywords

  • Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
  • Research articles
  • compartmental model
  • epidemiology
  • lockdown simulation
  • SARS-CoV-2

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