Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland

Gavin M. Abernethy; David H. Glass

doi:10.1098/rsif.2021.0896

Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland

Gavin M. Abernethy, David H. Glass

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Abstract

An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.

Original language	English
Article number	20210896
Pages (from-to)	1-11
Number of pages	11
Journal	Journal of The Royal Society Interface
Volume	19
Issue number	188
Early online date	9 Mar 2022
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896
Publication status	E-pub ahead of print - 9 Mar 2022

Keywords

Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
Research articles
compartmental model
epidemiology
lockdown simulation
SARS-CoV-2

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1098/rsif.2021.0896

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Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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