Abstract
An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.
Original language | English |
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Article number | 20210896 |
Pages (from-to) | 1-11 |
Number of pages | 11 |
Journal | Journal of The Royal Society Interface |
Volume | 19 |
Issue number | 188 |
Early online date | 9 Mar 2022 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | E-pub ahead of print - 9 Mar 2022 |
Keywords
- Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
- Research articles
- compartmental model
- epidemiology
- lockdown simulation
- SARS-CoV-2