Modelling Temporal Diffusion of PV Microgeneration Systems in Rural Western Kenya

Nicholas Opiyo

Research output: Contribution to conferencePoster

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Abstract

An agent-based model (ABM) is developed in Netlogo as a tool for evaluating temporal diffusion of PV-based communal grids in a rural developing community. ABMs model individual entities within a complex system and the rules that govern the interactions of the entities within the system, to capture the overall effect of such interactions. Results show that given various choices, small PV mircogeneration systems would emerge as the prefered source of electrification for many households. Also, with increasing power demands, many household would prefer communal grids to the national utility grid. Furthermore, introduction of favourable government policies in the form of subsidies and mircocredit facilities, coupled with increasing social acceptance, would lead to increased PV installations and correspondingly to increased communal grid connections. Specifically, introduction of a subsidy of $0.15/kWh would result in an increase of 249% in communal grid connections. Increasing the sensing radius from 1 km to 2 km would result in an increase of 118% in communal grid connections.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages1
Publication statusPublished - 24 Jun 2016
Event32nd European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference - ICM, Munich, Germany
Duration: 20 Jun 201624 Jun 2016
Conference number: 32
https://www.photovoltaic-conference.com/

Conference

Conference32nd European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference
Abbreviated titleEUPVSEC
CountryGermany
CityMunich
Period20/06/1624/06/16
Internet address

Keywords

  • Communal Grids
  • PV Diffusion
  • Temporal
  • Agent-Based Model

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