Memory Pattern Analysis in Time Critical Decision Modelling of Financial Markets

K Fatima, TF Lunney

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Memory patterns do exist in timeseries data. Long-term or short-term predictionis possible by analysing memory patterns. The Hurst coefficient (H) is a statistical measure for predictability of time series. In this paper, memory patterns of financial data are analysedusing Hurst statistics. Experiments with radialbasis function (RBF) networks and multilayerperceptron (MLP) networks show that predictions in series with large H values aremore accurate than those with H close to 0.5.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationUnknown Host Publication
Place of PublicationLondon
Pages16-21
Number of pages6
Publication statusPublished (in print/issue) - Sept 2005
EventIEEE SMC UK-RI Chapter Conference onApplied Cybernetics - University of London
Duration: 1 Sept 2005 → …

Conference

ConferenceIEEE SMC UK-RI Chapter Conference onApplied Cybernetics
Period1/09/05 → …

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