Mean ocean temperature change and decomposition of the benthic δ 18O record over the past 4.5 million years

  • Peter U. Clark
  • , Jeremy D Shakun
  • , Yair Rosenthal
  • , Chenyu Zhu
  • , Patrick J. Bartlein
  • , Jonathan M. Gregory
  • , Peter Köhler
  • , Zhengyu Liu
  • , Daniel P. Schrag

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

We use a recent reconstruction of global mean sea surface temperature change relative to preindustrial (1GMSST) over the last 4.5 Myr together with independent proxy-based reconstructions of bottom water (1BWT) or deep-ocean (1DOT) temperatures to infer changes in mean ocean temperature (1MOT). Three independent lines of evidence show that the ratio of 1MOT /1GMSST, which is a measure of ocean heat storage efficiency (HSE), increased from ∼ 0.5 to ∼ 1 during the Middle Pleistocene Transition (MPT, 1.5–0.9 Ma), indicating an increase in ocean heat uptake (OHU) at this time. The first line of evidence comes from global climate models; the second from proxy-based reconstructions of 1BWT, 1MOT, and 1GMSST; and the third from decomposing a global mean benthic δ 18O stack (δ 18O b) into its temperature (δ 18O T) and seawater (δ 18O sw) components. Regarding the latter, we also find that further corrections in benthic δ 18O, probably due to some combination of a long-term diagenetic overprint and to the carbonate ion effect, are necessary to explain reconstructed Pliocene sea-level highstands inferred from δ 18O sw. We develop a simple conceptual model that invokes an increase in OHU and HSE during the MPT in response to changes in deep-ocean circulation driven largely by surface forcing of the Southern Ocean. Our model accounts for heat uptake and temperature in the non-polar upper ocean (0–2000 m) that is mainly due to wind-driven ventilation, while changes in the deeper ocean (> 2000 m) in both polar and non-polar waters occur due to high-latitude deepwater formation. We propose that deepwater formation was substantially reduced prior to the MPT, effectively decreasing HSE. We attribute these changes in deepwater formation across the MPT to long-term cooling which caused a change starting ∼ 1.5 Ma from a highly stratified Southern Ocean due to warm SSTs and reduced sea-ice extent to a Southern Ocean which, due to colder SSTs and increased sea-ice extent, had a greater vertical exchange of water masses.

Original languageEnglish
Article numberCP 21
Pages (from-to)973-1000
Number of pages28
JournalNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Volume21
Issue number6
Early online date3 Jun 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished (in print/issue) - 30 Jun 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© Author(s) 2025.

Data Access Statement

Our ΔMOT and δ18Osw data are available in the Supplement. R code that implements the regression analysis between ΔMOT and ΔGMSST can be found at Zenodo (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14759006, Bartlein, 2025) or in the GitHub repository at (https://github.com/pjbartlein/MOTvsSST, last access: January 2025​​​​​​​).

Funding

This research has been supported by the National Science Foundation (grant nos. OPP-2103032, OCE1834208, and OCE-1810681).

FundersFunder number
National Science FoundationOPP-2103032, OCE-1810681, OCE-1834208
National Science Foundation

    UN SDGs

    This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

    1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
      SDG 13 Climate Action
    2. SDG 14 - Life Below Water
      SDG 14 Life Below Water

    Keywords

    • Mean ocean temperature change
    • Benthic foraminifera δ18O
    • Paleoclimate reconstruction
    • Isotope geochemistry
    • Middle Pleistocene Transition (MPT)
    • Oceanic oxygen isotope record
    • Seawater δ18O variability
    • Climate proxy analysis
    • Ocean heat content
    • Quaternary period climate dynamics

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