Conjunctive explanations: when are two explanations better than one?

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Abstract

When is it explanatorily better to adopt a conjunction of explanatory hypotheses as opposed to committing to only some of them? Although conjunctive explanations are inevitably less probable than less committed alternatives, we argue that the answer is not ‘never’. This paper provides an account of the conditions under which explanatory considerations warrant a preference for less probable, conjunctive explanations. After setting out four formal conditions that must be met by such an account, we consider the shortcomings of several approaches. We develop an account that avoids these shortcomings and then defend it by applying it to a well-known example of explanatory reasoning in contemporary science.
Original languageEnglish
Article number49
Pages (from-to)1-17
Number of pages17
JournalSynthese
Volume204
Issue number2
Early online date19 Jul 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished online - 19 Jul 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2024.

Keywords

  • Explanatory goodness
  • Simplicity
  • Probability
  • Explanatory power
  • Complexity
  • Information

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