Can we predict the outcome for people with patellofemoral pain? A systematic review on prognostic factors and treatment effect modifiers

Mark Matthews, Michael Rathleff, Andrew Claus, Tom McPoil, Robert Nee, Kay Crossley, Bill Vicenzino

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

16 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

BACKGROUND:Patellofemoral pain (PFP) is a multifactorial and often persistent knee condition. One strategy to enhance patient outcomes is using clinically assessable patient characteristics to predict the outcome and match a specific treatment to an individual.AIM:A systematic review was conducted to determine which baseline patient characteristics were (1) associated with patient outcome (prognosis); or (2) modified patient outcome from a specific treatment (treatment effect modifiers).METHODS:6 electronic databases were searched (July 2016) for studies evaluating the association between those with PFP, their characteristics and outcome. All studies were appraised using the Epidemiological Appraisal Instrument. Studies that aimed to identify treatment effect modifiers underwent a checklist for methodological quality.RESULTS:The 24 included studies evaluated 180 participant characteristics. 12 studies investigated prognosis, and 12 studies investigated potential treatment effect modifiers. Important methodological limitations were identified. Some prognostic studies used a retrospective design. Studies aiming to identify treatment effect modifiers often analysed too many variables for the limiting sample size and typically failed to use a control or comparator treatment group. 16 factors were reported to be associated with a poor outcome, with longer duration of symptoms the most reported (>4 months). Preliminary evidence suggests increased midfoot mobility may predict those who have a successful outcome to foot orthoses.CONCLUSIONS:Current evidence can identify those with increased risk of a poor outcome, but methodological limitations make it difficult to predict the outcome after one specific treatment compared with another. Adequately designed randomised trials are needed to identify treatment effect modifiers.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1650-1660
Number of pages10
JournalBritish Journal of Sports Medicine
Volume51
Issue number23
Early online date13 Dec 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 17 Nov 2017

Keywords

  • Knee
  • Physiotherapy
  • Treatment

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