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An artificial-intelligence driven method for quantitative assessment of influencing factors in community fire resilience

  • Jinlong Zhao
  • , Xin Kong
  • , Xinjiang Li
  • , Huaying Cui
  • , Hong Huang
  • , Jianping Zhang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

Community fire resilience is a complex system involving multiple stages and factors, and its enhancement is critical to reducing urban fire risks. This study proposes an intelligent method to assess community fire resilience and identify key factors. Firstly, a community fire resilience concept is proposed as the theoretical foundation. Subsequently, a BERT-BiLSTM-CRF model is trained to automatically extract influencing factors using fire accident reports. A modified technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method is then employed to screen factors and construct an indicator system. Finally, a Bayesian network (BN) model is constructed to assess resilience and identify key influencing factors. Results indicate that the BERT-BiLSTM-CRF model achieves strong performance with 90.98% F1-score. The indicator system encompasses 23 influencing factors across four resilience stages. BN inference results indicate that Chinese communities exhibit a high-resilience probability of 62%, while recovery and improvement capacities remain relatively weak. Electrical equipment failures, inadequate resident emergency response, underdeveloped emergency medical assistance mechanisms and accident case learning mechanisms are the dominant contributors across the four resilience stages, representing critical vulnerabilities in community fire governance. This study establishes a data-driven assessment framework for community fire resilience, which can be extended to other accident scenarios.
Original languageEnglish
Article number113003
Pages (from-to)1-44
Number of pages44
JournalReliability Engineering & System Safety
Volume277
Early online date6 Jun 2026
DOIs
Publication statusPublished online - 6 Jun 2026

Bibliographical note

©2026 Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Data Availability Statement

Data will be made available on request.

Funding

This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China [grant numbers 2024YFC3016804].

Funder number
2024YFC3016804

    UN SDGs

    This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

    1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
      SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
    2. SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
      SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities

    Keywords

    • Community fire resilence
    • Key factors analysis
    • Knowledge graph
    • Modified TOPSIS
    • Bayesian network
    • Community fire resilience

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